Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing1j
FutuurBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 67%
Nee 67%Marktkwaliteit
32 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 832,2
Lage liquiditeitHandelaren
15
Reacties
1
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
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PolymarketWhen will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiRegels
This market will resolve based on whether Gavin Newsom is formally declared the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee for the 2028 U.S. presidential election at the Democratic National Convention (DNC).
- Primary Designated Source (PDS): the official roll call of delegates and the certification of the nomination by the Democratic National Committee.
- To count as the nominee, Gavin Newsom must receive the majority of pledged delegate votes required under DNC rules and be officially confirmed as the presidential nominee at the convention.
- Resolution Timing and First-Truth Principle: This market will generally resolve at the conclusion of the 2028 Democratic National Convention once the official nominee is declared.
- Resolution will prioritize the substantive reality of whether Gavin Newsom is or is not the Democratic nominee, not minor technicalities of process.
- Winning sufficient delegate support in primaries or caucuses before the convention (even if Gavin Newsom secures the required delegate majority and the DNC publicly confirms it before the convention) is not enough to resolve this market to "Yes", unless the DNC modifies its procedures and makes a binding announcement of the nomination before the convention takes place.