When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
One-OffPolitiekAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing2mnd
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdMiddenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
Before Oct 1, 2027 · —
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
—
Opgeslagen prijs
Before Oct 1, 2027 74%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Before Oct 1, 2027 74%Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Open interest
US$ 4,3K
Gemiddelde open interestBied / Laat
— / —
Before Oct 1, 2027Spread
—
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
7 apr 26, 14:00 UTC1 jan 27, 15:00 UTC
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Marktdiepte · Before Oct 1, 2027
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
—
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California?
Manifold MarketsWill Hasan Piker Interview Gavin Newsom in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsGavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWhat guests will be on the Gavin Newsom podcast?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiRegels
If Gavin Newsom has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoBloomberg NewsNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Regels per uitkomst
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Gavin Newsom has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Gavin Newsom has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Gavin Newsom has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Mar 1, 2027
- If Gavin Newsom has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Mar 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Gavin Newsom has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Feb 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Gavin Newsom has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.