Will France cut off funding to Ukraine in 2027?
PolitiekOne-OffGeopolitiekVerkiezingRusland / OekraïneEuropa1j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 59.4%
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
18 okt 26, 16:53 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the French government officially halts or terminates direct state funding to Ukraine at any point during calendar year 2027 (January 1, 2027, through December 31, 2027, UTC).
- For the purpose of resolution:
- "Direct state funding" includes bilateral financial aid, budgetary grants, direct loans, or dedicated bilateral reconstruction and defense assistance funds financed by the French state (such as the Fonds de soutien à l'Ukraine or funding via Agence Française de Développement).
- A policy decision or executive order completely ending or indefinitely freezing bilateral financial disbursements to Ukraine satisfies the condition for YES.
- A standard expiration of a pre-scheduled multi-year program does not trigger YES unless accompanied by an explicit French government decision or executive declaration to stop, suspend, or block future funding to Ukraine.
