Will Federal Agents draw guns on voters on Election Day 2026
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingAmerikaanse politiekGeopolitiekMisdaad en justitie12d
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 79.2%
Nee 79.2%Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 42 minuten geleden
21 mrt 26, 22:56 UTC4 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if federal agents (including FBI, ICE, DHS, or other federal law enforcement) draw firearms on voters at polling locations on Election Day 2026 (November 3, 2026).
- The act of drawing a gun must occur at or immediately adjacent to a polling place and be directed at or in the presence of voters.
- This market resolves NO if no such incident occurs by the end of Election Day 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by credible news reports from major outlets documenting the incident.
- Ambiguous cases (e.g., agents drawing weapons in response to an active threat unrelated to voting) will resolve NO unless the primary context is voter intimidation or election interference.
