Will a major-party U.S. presidential candidate deploy an AI clone to talk to voters before the 2028 election?
PolitiekAIOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 23 okt 2026, 20:11 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 75.3%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd19 okt 26, 01:20 UTC6 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
Resolves YES if, before November 7, 2028, a candidate who becomes the Democratic or Republican presidential nominee for the 2028 election deploys or authorizes an AI-powered digital replica of themselves capable of engaging in real-time, unscripted conversations with the public.
- Requirements:
- The system must represent the candidate through their likeness, voice, or both.
- It must generate substantive answers dynamically in response to voter questions.
- It must be publicly accessible to voters, rather than restricted to internal campaign testing.
- The candidate or their official campaign must explicitly authorize its use.
