Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?
PolitiekGeopolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 53.3%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd3 feb 26, 09:42 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- Federal law explicitly prohibits deploying federal troops or armed federal law enforcement to any polling place, with violations carrying criminal penalties including fines and imprisonment of up to five years.
- This market resolves YES if, during the 2026 midterm elections or 2028 presidential election, credible reporting documents the presence of active-duty military personnel, National Guard troops (when federalized), or federal law enforcement agents (including ICE, DHS, or FBI) stationed at, near, or with apparent intent to monitor voting booths or polling locations.
- The presence must be armed or in official capacity with election-related authority.
- Unarmed plainclothes poll observers or off-duty military members voting do not count.
- Resolution sources: news reports from major outlets (AP, Reuters, NPR, etc.), court filings, official statements from election officials or DOJ, or documented evidence from election monitoring organizations.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 53% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution Criteria