Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2029?
Rusland / OekraïneOne-OffWetenschapRuimtevaartChina3jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 20:28 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85%
Voorspellers
31
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd23 dec 23, 18:27 UTC1 jan 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2029, evidence of extraterrestrial life is presented, adhering to the following criteria:
- Publication in a Recognized Scientific Journal: The evidence must be documented in at least one peer-reviewed article in a high-impact scientific journal of notable academic reputation.
- Relevant fields include astronomy, astrobiology, or similar scientific disciplines.
- Journals such as 'Nature' and 'Science' are prime examples, but other journals of similar standing are also acceptable.
- Confirmation by Space Exploration Authorities: The evidence must be independently confirmed or endorsed by at least two reputable space exploration agencies or government bodies.
- These may include, but are not limited to, NASA (United States), ESA (European Space Agency), Roscosmos (Russia), CNSA (China National Space Administration), or ISRO (Indian Space Research Organisation).
