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Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 14:18 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Completes full term 80.3%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Completes full term 80.3%Voorspellers
160
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd13 jun 25, 17:31 UTC21 jan 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be revealed to have a major medical condition before the end of his second presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump’s second presidential term NOT end exactly on January 20, 2029, due to war, emergency, impeachment, or other
Manifold MarketsWill either Joe Biden or Donald Trump pass away while serving their second presidential term?
Manifold MarketsLula to finish his presidential term?
FutuurWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
the named outcome Trump remains President and alive through January 20, 2029, and peacefully transfers power on that date as required by the Constitution.
- Staying in office beyond January 20, 2029 for any reason will not count as completing a full term.
- the named outcome Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029 by resignation, impeachment, 25th Amendment process, legal action, incapacity, voluntary hand-over, exile, coup, or any other non-fatal removal, and remains alive.
- If Trump is still claiming presidential authority after Jan 20, 2029, thus not ‘completing’ his term, the market will resolve to this option.
- the named outcome
- Trump dies from disease, aging, or any internal medical cause while serving as President.
