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Completes full term 78.8%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
160
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd13 jun 25, 17:31 UTC21 jan 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump become a de facto authoritarian ruler of the United States by the end of his presidential term by dism
Manifold MarketsWill either Joe Biden or Donald Trump pass away while serving their second presidential term?
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FutuurSantiago Peña to complete his presidential term in Paraguay?
FutuurDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiRegels
the named outcome Trump remains President and alive through January 20, 2029, and peacefully transfers power on that date as required by the Constitution.
- Staying in office beyond January 20, 2029 for any reason will not count as completing a full term.
- the named outcome Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029 by resignation, impeachment, 25th Amendment process, legal action, incapacity, voluntary hand-over, exile, coup, or any other non-fatal removal, and remains alive.
- If Trump is still claiming presidential authority after Jan 20, 2029, thus not ‘completing’ his term, the market will resolve to this option.
- the named outcome
- Trump dies from disease, aging, or any internal medical cause while serving as President.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- 24u volume
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)??
- Manifold Markets prijst Completes full term op 79% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)? afgewikkeld?
- Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)? wordt naar verwachting op 21 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: the named outcome Trump remains President and alive through January 20, 2029, and peacefully transfers power on that date as required by the Constitution.