Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingGeopolitiek2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 69%
Voorspellers
27
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd30 nov 25, 02:47 UTC20 jan 29, 11:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Trump’s second presidential term NOT end exactly on January 20, 2029, due to war, emergency, impeachment, or other
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be impeached during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be revealed to have a major medical condition before the end of his second presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Hegseth be impeached?
KalshiPete Hegseth impeached by which date?
PolymarketRegels
The Secretary of War William Belknap was impeached even after resigning in 1876.
- Will Peter Hegseth follow suit?
- Resolves YES on impeachment, regardless of what the Senate does.
- If he leaves office in other manner or serves the whole Trump term, without an impeachment process having been initiated, resolves NO.
- Any impeachment process started in the timeframe can result in YES, when the process ends, is not material.
- Update 2026-04-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Introducing articles of impeachment alone is not sufficient to resolve YES.