Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 64.6%
Voorspellers
42
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd1 feb 26, 09:21 UTC20 jan 29, 11:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?
KalshiHow many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
KalshiWill Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats win at least 222 seats? // Will Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached in his second term?
FutuurWill Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if the House of Representatives approves articles of impeachment against President Trump by simple majority vote.
- Verification can be found at Congress.gov by searching for passed House resolutions impeaching the President.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Futuur — Will Trump be impeached in his second term? · No 98%
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — Will Trump be impeached a 3rd time while in his second term in office? · Yes 64%
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes 70%
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — Will President Trump be impeached during his term? · Yes 64%
