Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 98.9%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd17 jul 26, 15:08 UTC4 jul 85, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will there be another assassination of a US politician before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Assassination attempt on Elon Musks life between now and the mid terms of 2026.
Manifold MarketsWill somebody perform an assassination attempt on Mark Zuckerberg before 2028?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve YES if David Baszucki's cause of death is assassination.
- If he dies from any other cause of death (such as suicide, natural causes, etc.), then it will resolve NO.
- This market will close on July 4, 2085, the day David Baszucki beats the world record for the oldest age of living circa 2026.
- FYI, David will turn 123 years old on January 20, 2086.
- If I were to somehow live past 2086 I will be eighty.
- Eighty? Hmm...
Open markten
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Totaal volume
- € 347,6K
- 24u volume
- € 12,4K
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 6,8K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 498,6K
- 24u volume
- € 6,1K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will David Baszucki die of assassination??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 99% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will David Baszucki die of assassination? afgewikkeld?
- Will David Baszucki die of assassination? wordt naar verwachting op 4 juli 2085 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will David Baszucki die of assassination? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve YES if David Baszucki's cause of death is assassination.