Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 68.3%
Voorspellers
2
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd8 apr 26, 14:35 UTC30 jun 27, 04:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2027?
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PolymarketWorlds 2026 Winning Region
PolymarketRegels
This market resolves YES if China's MOFCOM export license requirement for samarium (Sm), samarium oxide (Sm2O3), and samarium alloys is actively enforced on June 30, 2027 — i.e., exporters must obtain an export license under MOFCOM Decree No. 18 or equivalent order.
- YES if: Export licenses are required for samarium as of June 30, 2027 NO if: Controls are suspended or permanently rescinded on June 30, 2027
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- MOFCOM official gazette (mofcom.gov.cn) — export control announcements
- China Ministry of Commerce policy announcements
- Reuters / Bloomberg reporting on China rare earth export policy
