Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2027?
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Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 23:51 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd8 apr 26, 14:17 UTC31 dec 27, 05:00 UTC
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This market resolves YES if China's MOFCOM export license requirement for samarium (Sm), samarium oxide (Sm2O3), and samarium alloys is actively enforced on December 31, 2027 — i.e., exporters must obtain an export license under MOFCOM Decree No. 18 or equivalent order.
- YES if: Export licenses are required for samarium as of December 31, 2027 NO if: Controls are suspended or permanently rescinded on December 31, 2027
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- MOFCOM official gazette (mofcom.gov.cn) — export control announcements
- China Ministry of Commerce policy announcements
- Reuters / Bloomberg reporting on China rare earth export policy
