Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 54%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd4 sep 22, 20:49 UTC31 dec 39, 23:59 UTC
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Will China ever surpass US gdp?
Manifold MarketsWill China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?
Manifold MarketsWill there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?
Manifold MarketsUS GDP growth in Q4 2026?
PolymarketWill China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Some beginning to doubt the 2030s projection https://www.wsj.com/articles/will-chinas-economy-surpass-the-u-s-s-some-now-doubt-it-11662123945
- Sep 4, 9:54pm: Probably I'll use The World Bank or something, if I consider reliable.
