Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 86.5%
Voorspellers
44
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd3 mrt 24, 15:57 UTC31 dec 27, 22:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
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PolymarketWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketRegels
This question will be resolved as 'yes' if AP, Reuters, and AFP unanimously report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan.
- If one or more of those agencies cease to exist, the reporting from the remaining agency(ies) will be considered sufficient.