Will China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, or Russia become a democracy first?
AI
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Russia 33.3%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Russia 33.3%Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd8 jul 24, 16:56 UTC31 dec 49, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
As classified by their polity score or V-DEM score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/V-Dem_Democracy_Indices
- Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If both Polity score and V-DEM score are discontinued, the creator will update the market to use other democracy scores for resolution.