KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 96%
Marktkwaliteit
72 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 38,7
Liquiditeit
€ 91,3K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
4.0% / 4.1%
Spread
0.1 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
1 mrt 26, 15:00 UTC1 mrt 27, 14:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRegels
If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:The Economist
Open markten
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 25,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 107,6K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 104,5K
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Iran become a democracy in 2026??
- Kalshi prijst No op 96% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 maart 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.