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15
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd20 mrt 23, 10:30 UTC2 jan 00, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)?
Manifold MarketsChad Jones wins Nobel Prize in Economics before 2033?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiNobel Prize in Economics 2026
Kalshi2026 Nobel Physics winner?
KalshiRegels
Resolves positively immediately upon award, or negatively after the first round of Prizes awarded after his death.
Open markten
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 18,3K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,2K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 916K
- 24u volume
- € 1,5K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 863,6K
- 24u volume
- € 1K
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Aubrey de Grey ever win a Nobel Prize??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 92% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Aubrey de Grey ever win a Nobel Prize? afgewikkeld?
- Will Aubrey de Grey ever win a Nobel Prize? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2200 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Aubrey de Grey ever win a Nobel Prize? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves positively immediately upon award, or negatively after the first round of Prizes awarded after his death.