Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 98.8%
Voorspellers
20
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd30 jun 23, 14:38 UTC1 jan 30, 08:00 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will any UN country change its official name before the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any UN country change its capital before 2028?
KalshiWhat will be the next capital city to be occupied by a foreign military?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the first to ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving cars in their capital city?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will change its name by 2050? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegels
If a country has multiple capitals, I will resolve YES after any official changes in the de jure capitals set.