Will any UK cabinet member leave cabinet this quarter?
PolitiekOne-OffEuropeUS PoliticsVerkiezing2mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 25 jul 2026, 09:40 UTC · beleid pm-quality-2
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2024-Q3 0%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
42
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt gisteren
Verouderd7 jul 24, 6:3930 sep 26, 22:59
Trends
0%
100%
100%
0%
100%
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
2026-Q458%
Volumetrend
$1010 jul11d aan data25 jul
Gerelateerde Markten
On which days will Andy Burnham be UK Prime Minister
€ 140,61 July 2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will Andy Burnham meet in person in 2026?
€ 35,2Donald Trump: 95%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
€ 0PSD: 52%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next government of the United Kingdom?
€ 0Reform UK majority: 6%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Linda Sanchez win the California 38th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
€ 0Ja: 18%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill Linda Sanchez win the California 41st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
€ 0Ja: 86%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXActief in deze onderwerpen
Gerelateerd Nieuws
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRegels
Cabinet members as per https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers
- Resolves YES if any member of cabinet resigns, is fired, dies, or otherwise ceases to hold a position in cabinet in a listed calendar quarter (Jan-Mar, Apr-Jun, Jul-Sep, Oct-Dec).
- Being promoted to another cabinet position does not count as leaving.
- Losing one cabinet role when multiple are held (and thus remaining in cabinet) does not count as leaving.
- All cabinet members being replaced simultaneously e.g. at a general election will resolve YES.
- The only cabinet positions that will cause this to resolve are those listed under the "Cabinet Ministers" section of the webpage above.