Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 88.8%
Voorspellers
21
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd11 aug 25, 10:06 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Germany legally recognise gender by self-identification in 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill New Zealand legally recognise gender by self-identification in 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029?
Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegels
For “Yes”, a national law or regulation must come into effect granting legal status equivalent to marriage, civil partnership, or similar to a human–AI couple.
- I will not bet in this market.
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba+2.0pt69%
- Moonshot-9.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.3pt6%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 75,1K
- 24u volume
- € 61,5K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.3pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt15.5%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,8 mln.
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.5pt85.4%
- Moonshot-0.3pt9.7%
- Z.ai-3.4pt1.9%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%98%
- Above 2.55%+18.0pt94%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 61,1K
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will any country legally recognise human–AI romantic partnerships by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 89% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will any country legally recognise human–AI romantic partnerships by the end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will any country legally recognise human–AI romantic partnerships by the end of 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will any country legally recognise human–AI romantic partnerships by the end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: For “Yes”, a national law or regulation must come into effect granting legal status equivalent to marriage, civil partnership, or similar to a human–AI couple.