Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 53.9%
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd3 jul 26, 19:15 UTC29 sep 28, 22:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will someone other than Andy Burnham be UK Prime Minister at any point before 1 August 2028?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK PM by which date?
PolymarketWhat will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
PolymarketWhat will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
KalshiAndy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?
KalshiAndy Burnham Exit Date - 2026
SmarketsRegels
Niall Ferguson writes:
- I wish Andy Burnham the best of luck as he takes his turn atop the greasy pole.
- If he lasts two years, then dinner—at Peterhouse high table—is on me.
- Why Britons Really Regret Brexit
- I interpret this that he doesn't think there's a big chance Andy Burnham will last that long.
- This market will start it's timer when Andy Burnham becomes PM.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Andy Burnham last 2 years? (Niall Ferguson bet.)?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 54% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Andy Burnham last 2 years? (Niall Ferguson bet.) afgewikkeld?
- Will Andy Burnham last 2 years? (Niall Ferguson bet.) wordt naar verwachting op 29 september 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Andy Burnham last 2 years? (Niall Ferguson bet.) afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Niall Ferguson writes: