Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 71.3%
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23
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 19 uur geleden
Verouderd17 apr 24, 02:06 UTC2 jan 75, 07:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will humans visit the Outer Solar System before Halley's Comet returns?
Manifold Marketswill human ever live outside the solar system before the 22nd century?
Manifold MarketsWill a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
This question will resolve to Yes if either a craft or a person accomplishes what could fairly be called a circumnavigation of another object in the Solar System before January 1st 2075.
- For example, if a person were to land on an asteroid and walk completely around it, that would resolve to Yes.
- If a rover were to do the same thing, that would also be Yes.
- If a balloon/plane/helicopter were to float or fly completely around a planet or moon with an atmosphere, that would also be Yes.
- Merely orbiting an object would not count.
- Ambiguous cases like a person walking around a small protuberance on an asteroid instead of the main body would also resolve to No.
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 103,1K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 57,4K
- 24u volume
- € 57,4K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 817,9K
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 71% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075? afgewikkeld?
- Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2075 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This question will resolve to Yes if either a craft or a person accomplishes what could fairly be called a circumnavigation of another object in the Solar System before January 1st 2075.