Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85.8%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 50 minuten geleden
Vertraagd28 mrt 26, 04:16 UTC1 jan 29, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will @firstuserhere author a bestselling book by the end of 2027? (10000 Mana subsidy)
Manifold MarketsWill the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat will New York Times say during their next earnings call?
KalshiNew York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
KalshiWill Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
Manifold MarketsAble to read an article for a very small charge on New York Times by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves YES if a book appears on any New York Times bestseller list (fiction, nonfiction, or any subcategory) where an AI system is credited as the primary author, by December 31, 2028.
- What counts:
- The book must appear on the official NYT bestseller list (nytimes.com/books/best-sellers)
- The AI must be credited as author or primary co-author on the cover/title page
- Ghost-written by AI but credited to a human does NOT count
- A human editor/collaborator is fine as long as AI is credited as author
