Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 75.6%
Voorspellers
20
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 34 minuten geleden
4 apr 26, 03:33 UTC31 dec 26, 02:23 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the United States lose the war against Iran?
Manifold MarketsSaudi Arabia military action against Iran by which date?
PolymarketEuropean military action against Iran by which date?
PolymarketWho would win if Ethiopia went to war against Eritrea and its ally,The Tigray Defense Force (TDF) ?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. use a nuclear weapon against Iran’s Pickaxe Mountain between November 4 and November 10, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill "Christ Conquers Our Trials & Tribulations: Globalists Fail In Their War Against God"?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Between two weeks and two months after the end of the current conflict, I will create a poll reading as follows:
- "In your view, did the United States of America lose its war with Iran? You may define terms as you wish, but two clarifications are important:
- Iran does not have to have won in order for America to have lost, although Iran's victory or lack thereof may be a factor in consideration.
- Even if the war was ill conceived or foolish, it is possible to win it, and even if a war is wise or sensible it is possible to lose it.
- In other words "did America win" is a separate question to "do you think America was right to go to war".
- If there is serious argument about whether the war is ended, I will clarify that by poll .