Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 92.2%
Voorspellers
34
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 59 minuten geleden
Vertraagd7 apr 23, 02:22 UTC1 jan 00, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
By the end of this century, will the dominant form of intelligent life on Earth be digital or biological?
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FutuurWill we have conclusive evidence by 2030 that life on Earth has an extraterrestrial origin?
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Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
This market resolves YES if AI wipes out all biological life on Earth before the year 2100.
- Presumably in that case the AI will have to be kind enough to posthumously resolve this market on our behalf, but in the meantime Manifold loans should give you some incentive to bet on this market.
- This market resolves NO if the AI stops short of wiping out all biological life on Earth.
- If there's still a single amoeba, extremophile, mite, lichen, protist, or tardigrade still clinging to life somwhere on January 1st in the year of our Lord 2100, this market resolves NO.
- Also if something other than AI wipes out all life on Earth--such as a super asteroid or a supernova or a black hole or a giant alien space laser (the aliens being non artificial intelligences)--this market resolves NO.
- To be clear, if I (or an heir with my Manifold password) is still alive on January 1st, 2100.
