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14 feb 22, 02:31 UTC1 jan 30, 07:59 UTC
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This is based on the inaugural longbets.org bet between Ray Kurzweil (YES) and Mitch Kapor (NO).
- It's a much more stringent Turing test than just "person on the street chats informally with a bot and can't tell it from a human".
- In fact, it's carefully constructed to be a proxy for AGI.
- Experts who know all the bot's weaknesses get to grill it for hours.
- Kurzweil and Kapor agree that LLMs as of 2023 don't and can't pass this Turing test.
- Personally I think Kapor will win and Kurzweil will lose -- that a computer will not pass this version of the Turing test this decade.
