Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

Veelgestelde vragen

Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 55% per 31 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet? afgewikkeld?

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/3648/)

Gebruik deze markt in code of in een AI-agent

Gratis JSON voor deze markt, geen API-sleutel nodig:

AI-agents: roep pm_data_event aan op de MCP-server van CoinRithm:

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX54%
• Anthropic+2.4pt46%
• ByteDance0%

+9 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 6,3 mln.

24u volume

€ 207,2K

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+1.0pt55.5%
• Anthropic+3.0pt36.6%
• OpenAI5.9%

+12 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-1.0pt31.3%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.0pt21.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T-3.2pt16.2%

+7 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini-0.8pt52.7%
• Claude+2.3pt38.4%
• ChatGPT+0.1pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Date

• No IPO by November 30, 2026-4.0pt20%
• November 20+1.5pt20%
• November 19+4.5pt18.9%

+9 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-2.1pt87%
• December 15,+2.0pt84%
• November 30,+3.5pt80%

+15 extra uitkomsten

• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Best AI this week
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Google market share this week
• Gemini Carbon released on?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• When will Gemini Carbon be released?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 26–Nov 1