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In 2030 or earlier 55%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
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75
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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7d wijziging
0.0 pts
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Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd26 jan 24, 09:59 UTC2 jan 28, 22:59 UTC
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With AI models becoming more powerful, they are starting to be used in more and more high-stakes scenarios.
- This means that an AI mistake could have significant consequences.
- In this question I'm considering situations in which AI actions are directly causing an incident, accident or catastrophe resulting in $1 billion of damages.
- If the event causes loss of life, each death counts as $10 million of damages.
- The incident should be a direct consequence of the AI's decisions, actions or output.
- It should not have happened if the AI wasn't involved.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will AI cause an incident resulting in $1b of losses or 100 lost lives??
- Manifold Markets prijst In 2030 or earlier op 55% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will AI cause an incident resulting in $1b of losses or 100 lost lives? afgewikkeld?
- Will AI cause an incident resulting in $1b of losses or 100 lost lives? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will AI cause an incident resulting in $1b of losses or 100 lost lives? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: With AI models becoming more powerful, they are starting to be used in more and more high-stakes scenarios.