Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 71%
Voorspellers
32
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd20 nov 24, 13:09 UTC1 jan 31, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsWill there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?
Manifold MarketsFirst country to conduct offensive nuclear strike (before 2035)?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegels
As our collective memory of the devastation and fear of nuclear war recedes the risks of a nation using these weapons feels more tangible.
- Global tensions are increasing worldwide with nuclear powered and nuclear-backed nations only serving to make the threat of a nuclear attack more likely.
- Will the tension break this decade or will we survive another 5 years without witnessing the horrific devastation that leveled Hiroshima and Nagasaki?
- edit: revised question to “will there be a nuclear strike” rather than nuclear detonation.
- This market will resolve to true for any nuclear strike on a civilian or military target even if it is a single bomb without retaliation.
- This market will also resolve true if there is an attempted nuclear strike that does not detonate (as in the bomb is launched but fails to detonate because of interception or malfunction).