Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 96%
Voorspellers
24
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd24 jun 23, 22:48 UTC1 jan 00, 05:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a nuclear war before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill nuclear war cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves NO if humanity is still around in 2100.
- If we are not still around, then the resolution is up to whatever intelligent non-human beings, if any, exist in our wake.
- Hopefully, they will resolve it correctly based on whether or not it was nuclear war that did us in.