Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt23.5%
• Before Jan 1, 202815.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+0.2pt5%

+4 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 33,7 mln.

24u volume

€ 115,4K

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31+0.3pt4%
• October 31-0.2pt0%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 67,7 mln.

24u volume

€ 98,4K

KALSHI

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 30, 2026?

• Magnitude of at least 5.285.5%
• Magnitude of at least 5.466.5%
• Magnitude of at least 5.656%

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

• Yes74%
• No25.9%

Totaal volume

€ 400K

24u volume

€ 3,2K

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 29, 2026?

• 6.1 or more+71.0pt90.8%
• 5.3 to 5.4-24.0pt5.5%
• 5.7 to 5.8-30.3pt2.8%

+3 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?

• June 30+12.5pt43%
• December 31+1.5pt6%

Totaal volume

€ 30,6K

24u volume

€ 2,7K