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Verouderd1 mrt 24, 14:02 UTC1 jan 31, 05:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
PolymarketNext Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
PolymarketWho replaces Merz as Chancellor before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor?
KalshiHow many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
KalshiRegels
resolves yes if an AfD member serves as chancellor at any point prior to December 31, 2030
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt74%
- New People (NL)+1.6pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 26,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,3 mln.
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio16%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-3.2pt92%
- Yes+3.2pt8%
- Totaal volume
- € 18,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 653,6K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 190,9 mln.
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+3.0pt87.3%
- Republican Party12.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 27,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 534,7K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.6pt16%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 90% per 16 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: resolves yes if an AfD member serves as chancellor at any point prior to December 31, 2030