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Ja 67%
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9
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd1 mei 24, 23:11 UTC1 jan 00, 22:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the first crewed Mars mission result in a loss of at least 1 life or mission abortion before reaching Mars orbit?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will the first Mars landing occur?
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KalshiAST SpaceMobile BlueBird satellites in orbit above __ in Q4 2026?
LimitlessRegels
If it's a Mars landing mission and they orbit/do a flyby just because something fails and the plan changes mid-mission, it still counts as a landing mission.
- Phobos/Deimos landing missions also count as landing missions.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 944,1K
- 24u volume
- € 721,8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Totaal volume
- € 620K
- 24u volume
- € 536K
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 514,9K
- 24u volume
- € 496,9K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a crewed Mars flyby or Mars orbit mission be attempted before a crewed Mars landing mission??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 67% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will a crewed Mars flyby or Mars orbit mission be attempted before a crewed Mars landing mission? afgewikkeld?
- Will a crewed Mars flyby or Mars orbit mission be attempted before a crewed Mars landing mission? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2100 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will a crewed Mars flyby or Mars orbit mission be attempted before a crewed Mars landing mission? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If it's a Mars landing mission and they orbit/do a flyby just because something fails and the plan changes mid-mission, it still counts as a landing mission.