California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?
TechOne-OffRuimtevaartWetenschap
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 55.7%
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd18 jun 25, 18:19 UTC31 dec 99, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the California High-Speed Rail (HSR) system becomes operational between San Francisco and Los Angeles before a human lands alive on Mars. "Operational" is defined as the commencement of regular passenger service along the full route connecting San Francisco and Los Angeles.
- A "human landing on Mars" is defined as a human arriving on the Martian surface alive.
- The resolution will be based on official announcements from the California High-Speed Rail Authority and credible space agencies or organizations involved in Mars missions.
- The California High-Speed Rail project aims to connect San Francisco and Los Angeles via a 494-mile route.
- As of March 2024, the project has faced significant delays and cost overruns, with no set timeline for the full route's completion.