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Will a major tech company publicly pause or limit AI development due to safety concerns before January 1, 2027?

Regelgeving AIOne-OffTech3mnd

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Ja 86.6%

Voorspellers

13

Vraagtype

binary

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden

Verouderd

18 mrt 26, 16:26 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

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Regels

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if a major tech company (defined as a company with market capitalization exceeding $100 billion or annual revenue exceeding $50 billion) publicly announces a pause or meaningful limitation on AI development activities due to safety concerns before January 1, 2027.
The announcement must explicitly cite safety as the primary reason and involve a concrete action (e.g., halting training of specific models, delaying product releases, or reducing AI R&D investment).
Statements about "prioritizing safety" or implementing safety measures without pausing development do not qualify.
Resolution sources include official company announcements, SEC filings, press releases, and statements from company leadership reported by major news outlets.
As of July 2024, a pause on AI development has not been realized—instead, AI companies have directed "vast investments in infrastructure to train ever-more giant AI systems".

Open markten

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Veelgestelde vragen

Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a major tech company publicly pause or limit AI development due to safety concerns before January 1, 2027??: Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 87% per 8 september 2026.
Wanneer wordt Will a major tech company publicly pause or limit AI development due to safety concerns before January 1, 2027? afgewikkeld?: Will a major tech company publicly pause or limit AI development due to safety concerns before January 1, 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
Hoe wordt Will a major tech company publicly pause or limit AI development due to safety concerns before January 1, 2027? afgewikkeld?: Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria

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