Will a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?
One-OffRuimtevaartWetenschap2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 75%
Voorspellers
59
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd1 dec 24, 04:01 UTC31 dec 28, 10:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegels
it has to take a step for it to count
- Update 2025-13-01 (PST): - If both humanoid robots and biological humans are part of the same mission, the market will resolve as 'yes' if the robots take a step before the humans.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
- Update 2025-16-01 (PST): - Humanoid robots with wheels for feet will count as setting foot if they take a step with their wheels or roll on them.
- Update 2025-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market close date will be extended as necessary if the events determining the outcome (a humanoid robot or a biological human setting foot on Mars) have not occurred by the current close date.
