Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNobody 37.4%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd2 okt 25, 17:42 UTC2 okt 26, 17:42 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death?
Manifold MarketsRobin Hanson wins a Nobel Prize in Economics?
Manifold MarketsWill Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
KalshiWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
PolymarketWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
PolymarketRegels
I may or may not have an interview with Robin Hanson coming up.
- I created a prediction market about whether or not he would accept my request to be the subject of an interview about being the subject of a prediction market.
- And I want a sponsor for my youtube channel, so I put a public stripe link on twitter around the conversation to see if manifold would see the value.
- https://x.com/leo_guinan/status/1973804489401311452
- Here's my youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@ideasupplychain
Open markten
ChainlinkKALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-12.0pt41%
- Bitcoin (BTC)-1.0pt37%
- Solana (SOL)-4.0pt30%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 593,6K
- 24u volume
- € 1,9K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↑ 1451%
- ↓ 1051%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt64.7%
- $10M - $100M12.6%
- $100M - $1B12.6%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 43
- 24u volume
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Totaal volume
- € 271,5
- 24u volume
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?
- $10M - $100M45.4%
- Less than $10M or bankrupt44.5%
- $100M - $1B6.8%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 101,4
- 24u volume
- Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?
- In what year will humans have more sex with robots than with other humans
- Will Link speak in the Zelda movie?
- Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)
- Days without sunspots in 2026.
- 🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]
- Who is the unidentified person on the cover of Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band?
- Messi vs Ronaldo: who's gonna have more career goals? 🥅
- Manifold Meta-Futarchy 2026
- When will consumer AI be able to read me a book
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who Will Sponsor My Episode for $25K With Robin Hanson if It Exists??
- Manifold Markets prijst Nobody op 37% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who Will Sponsor My Episode for $25K With Robin Hanson if It Exists? afgewikkeld?
- Who Will Sponsor My Episode for $25K With Robin Hanson if It Exists? wordt naar verwachting op 2 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who Will Sponsor My Episode for $25K With Robin Hanson if It Exists? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: I may or may not have an interview with Robin Hanson coming up.