Waarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 15:20 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
https://manifold.markets/Stralor/manifold-the-site-2026-prop-bets 43%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
18
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd2 mei 26, 23:04 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026?
Manifold Markets🌐 Which of the fifty most-visited websites today will still be in the top 50 in a decade? (2024-2034)
Manifold MarketsExit valuation of Spine AI (YC S23)?
Manifold MarketsWhich of Ars Technica's Starship timeline predictions will be accurate?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
KalshiRegels
Which markets will I judge to be helpful in improving Manifold's monetization in 2026?
- Futarchy is so 90s.
- We're doing meta-futarchy now.
- Create a market about some topic relevant to monetizing this platform (it can be a true futarchy-style decision market or just a normal market), and link to it as an answer on this market.
- At the end of the year, I will review each market, and will resolve each affirmatively if we use an insight which we've uniquely obtained from that market to generate at least $10k in revenue in 2026.
