Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets?
One-OffBusiness & Corporate9jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 77.8%
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25
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd2 okt 25, 16:20 UTC2 okt 35, 16:19 UTC
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Resolves YES if anyone reports, and Robin Hanson does not contradict within 7 days, that they requested to talk to Robin Hanson about prediction markets, and got turned down.
- Resolves NO if this does not happen after 10 years.
- Update 2025-10-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - 7-day window starts after notification: The 7 days begin once Robin Hanson is notified of the report; if he does not contradict within that period, it counts.
- Obvious abuse/false reports may be ignored: The creator may use discretion to disregard clearly dishonest or spammy repeated claims.
- Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on what counts as "turned down": A request to talk about prediction markets that is declined because the requester primarily wants to discuss their own grand theory (rather than genuinely discuss prediction markets) does NOT count as being "turned down" for purposes of this market's resolution.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 78% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets? afgewikkeld?
- Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets? wordt naar verwachting op 2 oktober 2035 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if anyone reports, and Robin Hanson does not contradict within 7 days, that they requested to talk to Robin Hanson about prediction markets, and got turned down.