Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 11 jul 2026, 12:20 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJ. D. Vance 83.5%Koploper van 21 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
59
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 dagen geleden
Verouderd10 okt 23, 15:0517 jun 28, 6:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Ron Desantis52%
Platforms vergelijken· J. D. Vance
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste algemeen88% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Gemiddeld | 78% | — | € 1,5K | € 143,6K | 16 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold MarketsDeze pagina | — | 84% | — | — | — | 16 dagen geleden |
Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1.0 pts1j
78%
-3.0pt70%
+2.0pt62%
+31 extra uitkomsten
67 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitGematigde spreadHoge liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 344,8K
24u volume€ 1,5K
KALSHIRegels
This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers.
- Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.
- Any person who appears in Wikipedia's "major candidates" section, at any time, for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries will resolve YES.
- The criteria here are:
- The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and meet one or more of the following criteria: campaign has received substantial major media coverage; current or previous holder of significant elected office (president, vice president, governor, U.S. senator, U.S. representative); have been included in at least five national polls.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Volumetrend
$269 jul3d aan data11 jul
Gerelateerde Markten
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
€ 2,4 mln.July 31: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
€ 670,8KJuly 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
€ 625,7KJames Fishback: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
€ 412,1KJon Ossoff: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
€ 394,3KJD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ohio Governor winner?
€ 348,1KVivek Ramaswamy: 51%KALSHI
KALSHIActief in deze onderwerpen
Gerelateerd Nieuws
Kalshi, Polymarket win pause against Minnesota's prediction market banCoindesk
CFTC seeks urgent ruling on Minnesota prediction market banCrypto News
Ripple’s other ledger: What $48 million in politics buysCrypto News
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nearsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff newsBlockchain.NewsRegels
This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers.
- Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.
- Any person who appears in Wikipedia's "major candidates" section, at any time, for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries will resolve YES.
- The criteria here are:
- The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and meet one or more of the following criteria: campaign has received substantial major media coverage; current or previous holder of significant elected office (president, vice president, governor, U.S. senator, U.S. representative); have been included in at least five national polls.