Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingDemocrats 56%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
74
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+6.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd7 jan 26, 16:24 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans maintain a majority in the senate after the midterms
Manifold MarketsWhich party will control the Senate after the midterm elections?
SmarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on which party controls the U.S. Senate following elections scheduled for November 3, 2026, when 35 of the 100 Senate seats will be contested.
- Control is determined by which party holds a majority of seats (51 or more).
- The Senate currently has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents who caucus with Democrats).
- Democrats need a net gain of four seats to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two seats to retain control.
- Resolution will be based on official election results certified by state authorities and reported by major news outlets (AP, Reuters, etc.).
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 193,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 710,8K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 584,6K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 407,5K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 14,9 mln.
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets prijst Democrats op 56% per 21 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms? afgewikkeld?
- Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria
- Waar wordt Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op PredictIt.