Will the Republicans maintain a majority in the senate after the midterms
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 20268d
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 07:03 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 67%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd25 mrt 26, 14:44 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Republicans maintain a majority in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterm elections on November 3, 2026.
- Currently, Republicans hold 53 seats and Democrats hold 47 (including two independents), with 35 seats up for election—22 held by Republicans and 13 by Democrats.
- Republicans can lose only two seats and retain a majority.
- Resolution will be determined by the official results certified by the Senate following the November 3, 2026 elections, including two special elections in Florida and Ohio.
- Republicans gained majority control of the Senate in the 2024 elections by flipping four Democratic seats.