Will Republicans maintain house control in 2026 midterms?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 20262mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 67.1%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd7 okt 26, 18:43 UTC31 dec 26, 11:00 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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PolymarketUS House Control After the 2026 Midterms
Robinhood (Rothera)Regels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, following the U.S. midterm elections on November 3, 2026, the Republican Party maintains control of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th Congress.
- Specifically, this means:
- The Republican Party wins at least 218 of the 435 voting seats in the House.
- Alternatively, if neither party secures 218 seats outright due to independents or third parties, this market will resolve to YES if the Republican Party successfully organizes the chamber and elects a Republican Speaker of the House when the 120th Congress convenes in January 2027.
- If the Democratic Party or any other non-Republican coalition wins a majority of seats or successfully organizes the chamber (electing a non-Republican Speaker), this market resolves to NO.
