Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Serhiy Kuznetsov 89.6%Koploper van 15 uitkomsten
Serhiy Kuznetsov 89.6%Voorspellers
144
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd20 aug 24, 20:30 UTC28 aug 28, 06:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
PolymarketWill Nord Stream 2 open?
KalshiWill Nord Stream resume operations by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine apologize for blowing up Nord stream 2 before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWas a western-aligned party (such as the US or Ukraine) responsible for the Nord Stream attack?
Manifold MarketsWill Nord Stream resume operations by 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Background: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Nord_Stream_pipeline_sabotage
- Multiple answers will be chosen if more than one actor is involved. “Involved” means has knowledge of the event and contributed to the sabotage prior to its happening.
- Resolves when there is a clear actor beyond a reasonable doubt.