Which UK political figures will defect to Reform UK before the next election?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingEurope2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingSuella Braverman 100%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd14 jan 26, 11:11 UTC14 aug 29, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for any UK political figure who defects to Reform UK before the date of the next election.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Reform UK and reporting in established media outlets (BBC, Telegraph, Guardian).
- Each answer resolves independently, multiple politicians can resolve YES.
- I've added some people who have been speculated in the past, feel free to add more as I'm sure more figures will be named in future.
- I kept the title vague: feel free to add any people who have at any time been elected to a position in the UK (Councillor, Mayor, PCC, MP, MSP, AM, MS), any sitting or previously sitting lords, or any high profile aides/political employees (Morgan McSweeney, Dominic Cummings types).
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which UK political figures will defect to Reform UK before the next election??
- Manifold Markets prijst Suella Braverman op 100% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which UK political figures will defect to Reform UK before the next election? afgewikkeld?
- Which UK political figures will defect to Reform UK before the next election? wordt naar verwachting op 14 augustus 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which UK political figures will defect to Reform UK before the next election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria