Which party will win the 2026 Spanish General Election?
1.5 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffEuropaVerkiezing27d
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingPP 84.5%+1.5ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+17.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd31 okt 26, 05:34 UTC30 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the political party that wins the highest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies (Congreso de los Diputados) in the Spanish general election scheduled for November 29, 2026.
- Primary Source: Official election results published by the Ministry of the Interior (Ministerio del Interior) or the Central Electoral Board (Junta Electoral Central - juntaelectoralcentral.es).
- Tiebreaker: In the event that two or more parties tie for the highest number of seats, the market will resolve to the party among them that received the highest total popular vote share nationwide.
- If the election is postponed past 2026, this market will resolve based on the next Spanish general election held.
- Coalitions running on a joint national list will be treated as that unified entity.
