Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 87.8%
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd15 jun 25, 12:14 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
After party secretary Santos Cerdán was involved in a corruption scandal, Sánchez dismissed him and apologized, but ruled out resigning or calling for a snap election.
- More specifically, Sánchez said 'there will be no election until 2027', but this political crisis might make his coalition partners of the leftist Sumar withdraw their support.
- This market resolves YES if a new general election is held in Spain before 2027.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 88% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: After party secretary Santos Cerdán was involved in a corruption scandal, Sánchez dismissed him and apologized, but ruled out resigning or calling for a snap election.