Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Other 32%Koploper van 37 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd28 mei 25, 02:12 UTC31 dec 30, 02:04 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman?
Manifold MarketsWill a human from any nation other than the United States land on the Moon and successfully return by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegels
I will continue add months after market creation until Other is not the largest option.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the specific month in which SpaceX's Starship Human Landing System (HLS) successfully lands on the Moon.
- The landing is considered successful when the Starship HLS completes a soft landing on the lunar surface, remains upright and sends a signal .The official confirmation of the landing will be sourced from reputable space agencies or organizations, such as NASA or SpaceX, and reported by major news outlets.
- The Starship HLS is a lunar lander variant of SpaceX's Starship spacecraft, developed under NASA's Artemis program to transport astronauts from lunar orbit to the Moon's surface and back.
- As of May 2025, the first crewed lunar landing using Starship HLS is scheduled for mid-2027 as part of the Artemis III mission.
