Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingYES, and she will be the second Chinese citizen to walk on the Moon 35.9%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd22 aug 25, 03:06 UTC31 dec 30, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- This resolves on China’s first crewed mission that successfully lands taikonauts on the lunar surface (soft landing achieved; mere lunar orbit or aborts don’t count).
- Outcome is determined from official post-mission reports/broadcasts by CMSA/Xinhua/CCTV; if unavailable, reputable wire services (Reuters/AP) may be used.
- “the named outcome” if a woman is the first to step onto the lunar surface on that mission, per official timeline/coverage.
- “the named outcome” if a woman steps onto the surface after a male crewmate from the same mission has already done so.
- “the named outcome” if a woman is assigned to that mission but does not ride the lander and stays in lunar orbit.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman??
- Manifold Markets prijst YES, and she will be the second Chinese citizen to walk on the Moon op 36% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman? afgewikkeld?
- Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria